qainarQainar Journal of Social ScienceQainar Journal of Social Science2958-72122958-7220Q University10.58732/2958-7212-2026-1-46-67qainar-517Research ArticleСтатьиПроизводственные, инфраструктурные и социальные детерминанты формирования агрохабов в регионах КазахстанаIndustrial, infrastructural and social determinants of the formation of agrohabs in the regions of Kazakhstanhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-8735-667XНургалиеваК. О.NurgaliyevaK. O.

к.э.н. 

Алматы 

Kuralay O. Nurgaliyeva – Cand.Sc. (Econ.) 

Almaty 

nurgalieva.k@uib.kzhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-1054-6640БекбосиноваА. С.BekbossinovaA. S.

PhD 

Алматы 

Assel S. Bekbossinova – PhD, Scientific Researcher 

Almaty 

bekbosinova.assel@ieconom.kzУниверситет Международного Бизнеса им. К.СагадиеваКазахстанUniversity of International Business named after K. SagadiyevKazakhstanИнститут экономики КН МНВО РККазахстанInstitute of Economics СS MSHE RKKazakhstan202601042026514667Copyright © Нургалиева К.О., Бекбосинова А.С., 20262026Нургалиева К.О., Бекбосинова А.С.Nurgaliyeva K.O., Bekbossinova A.S.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://www.journal-kainar.kz/jour/article/view/517

В условиях усиливающейся пространственной дифференциации аграрного развития и необходимости перехода к модели роста с более высокой добавленной стоимостью актуализируется задача научного обоснования территориального размещения агрохабов в регионах Казахстана. Цель исследования провести анализ динамики развития регионов Казахстана и определить предпосылки формирования агрохабов на основе производственных, инфраструктурных и социальных детерминантов. Методологическая основа включает дескриптивный статистический анализ, нормализацию показателей методом min–max и расчет интегрального индекса. Типологизация регионов осуществлялась квартильным методом, дополнительно проведена социально-ориентированная SWOT-диагностика для регионов с высоким и средним уровнем потенциала. Информационной базой послужили официальные данные Бюро национальной статистики Республики Казахстан и Национального Банка Республики Казахстан за период 2010–2024 гг. Результаты показали, что за анализируемый период валовой выпуск сельского хозяйства увеличился с 1,82 трлн тенге до 8,31 трлн тенге (рост в 4,56 раза; среднегодовой темп ≈11,5%), при одновременном сокращении занятости с 2,29 млн до 1,03 млн человек и росте производительности труда с 0,79 до 8,09 млн тенге на одного занятого. Интегральный индекс выявил выраженную региональную дифференциацию: наибольшие значения зафиксированы в Туркестанской (0,80), Алматинской (0,69), Акмолинской (0,66) и Северо-Казахстанской (0,65) областях, наименьшие - в Мангистауской (0,37) и Улытауской (0,10) областях. Полученные результаты подтверждают необходимость дифференцированной региональной политики и использования интегральной оценки как инструмента стратегического планирования размещения агрохабов.

In the context of the increasing spatial differentiation of agricultural development and the need to switch to a growth model with higher added value, the task of scientific substantiation of the territorial location of agricultural farms in the regions of Kazakhstan is being actualized. The purpose of the study is to analyze the dynamics of the development of the regions of Kazakhstan and determine the prerequisites for the formation of agrohabs based on industrial, infrastructural and social determinants. The methodological framework includes descriptive statistical analysis, normalization of indicators using the min-max method, and calculation of an integral index. The typologization of the regions was carried out using the quartile method, and a socially oriented SWOT diagnosis was additionally carried out for regions with high and medium potential levels. The information base was the official data of the Bureau of National Statistics and the National Bank for the period 2010-2024. The results showed that during the analyzed period, gross agricultural output increased from 1.82 trillion tenge to 8.31 trillion tenge (an increase of 4.56 times; average annual rate of 11.5%), while employment decreased from 2.29 million to 1.03 million people and labor productivity increased from 0.79 to 8.09 million tenge per employee. The integral index revealed a pronounced regional differentiation: the highest values were recorded in Turkestan (0.80), Almaty (0.69), Akmola (0.66) and North Kazakhstan (0.65) regions, the lowest in Mangystau (0.37) and Ulytau (0.10) regions. The results obtained confirm the need for a differentiated regional policy and the use of integrated assessment as a tool for strategic planning of agrohabs.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.